Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham 4, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 July 2025, Friday


	Ryan Peniston		Hamish Stewart

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.41	3.07
			Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.39	2.85	Watch
	1.38	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.54)	2.86 ↑ (2.32)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryan Peniston
67.3%

Hamish Stewart
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Peniston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ryan Peniston's performance.

Hamish Stewart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hamish Stewart might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ryan Peniston that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamish Stewart than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hamish Stewart could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Ryan Peniston - Hamish Stewart Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Peniston will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Stewart will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Peniston (votes: 1 - 50%). Stewart (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Peniston is ranked ATP: 263. Stewart is ranked ATP: 545.

Recent performances by Peniston have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Stewart is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Peniston is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Peniston
ATP Challenger
09.07.25	Ryan Peniston - Henry Searle	2:1 ✺
08.07.25	Ryan Peniston - Ben Jones	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.25	Ryan Peniston - Martin Landaluce	1:2 ✺
23.06.25	Facundo Bagnis - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.06.25	Emilio Nava - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWL
- Hamish Stewart
ATP Challenger
09.07.25	Hamish Stewart - George Loffhagen	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Hamish Stewart - Matthew Summers	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.25	Hamish Stewart - Leandro Riedi	1:3 ✺
25.06.25	Luca Van Assche - Hamish Stewart	1:2 ✺
23.06.25	Hamish Stewart - Valentin Vacherot	Vacherot V. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWLW?

Ryan Peniston - Hamish Stewart: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide