Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: DRUMMONDVILLE (CANADA), HARD (INDOOR) - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 17 November 2023, Friday


	Ryan Peniston		James Duckworth

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.15	1.65	Watch
	2.25	1.68
	2.26	1.69
	2.2	1.62
	2.31	1.58	Watch
	2.14	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.93)	1.64 ↓ (1.77)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryan Peniston
42.8%

James Duckworth
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Peniston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

James Duckworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Ryan Peniston - James Duckworth Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Peniston will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Duckworth will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Duckworth: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Peniston is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Duckworth is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Peniston could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Duckworth to win the game is with odds 1.72.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Peniston
ATP Challenger
16.11.23	Ryan Peniston - Dan Martin	Peniston R. retired ✺
14.11.23	Ryan Peniston - Kiranpal Pannu	2:0 ✺
07.11.23	Ryan Peniston - Andres Martin	0:2 ✺
25.10.23	Ryan Peniston - Arthur Fery	0:2 ✺
23.10.23	Ryan Peniston - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 ?WLLW
- James Duckworth
ATP Challenger
16.11.23	Thai-Son Kwiatkowski - James Duckworth	1:2 ✺
14.11.23	Cannon Kingsley - James Duckworth	1:2 ✺
08.11.23	Inaki Montes De La Torre - James Duckworth	2:0 ✺
06.11.23	Li Tu - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
30.10.23	James Duckworth - Jose-Rubin Statham	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLW?

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