Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: DRUMMONDVILLE (CANADA), HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Li Tu		James Duckworth

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.7	1.42
	2.88	1.45
	2.89	1.45
	2.75	1.4
	2.8	1.41	Watch
	2.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (2.96)	1.42 ↑ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Li Tu
33.7%

James Duckworth
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Li Tu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

James Duckworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Li Tu - James Duckworth Predictions

Users Predictions: James Duckworth will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Tu is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Duckworth is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Duckworth will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Duckworth to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Li Tu
ATP Challenger
17.11.23	Li Tu - Joao Sousa	2:0 ✺
15.11.23	Alexis Galarneau - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
14.11.23	Maxime Janvier - Li Tu	1:2 ✺
06.11.23	Li Tu - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
24.10.23	Taro Daniel - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWLL
- James Duckworth
ATP Challenger
17.11.23	Ryan Peniston - James Duckworth	1:2 ✺
16.11.23	Thai-Son Kwiatkowski - James Duckworth	1:2 ✺
14.11.23	Cannon Kingsley - James Duckworth	1:2 ✺
08.11.23	Inaki Montes De La Torre - James Duckworth	2:0 ✺
06.11.23	Li Tu - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.11.23	Li Tu - James Duckworth	0:2
19.10.23	James Duckworth - Li Tu	2:0
15.10.22	Li Tu - James Duckworth	2:0

Li Tu - James Duckworth: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide