Match Info
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Setubal, hard - 1/16-finalsDate: 17 September 2025, Wednesday
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Ryan Peniston |
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Lui Maxted |
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- The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ryan Peniston 71.1% | Lui Maxted 28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ryan Peniston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Lui Maxted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lui Maxted than the current prediction. (+0.7%)Ryan Peniston - Lui Maxted Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Peniston is ranked ATP: 253. Maxted is ranked ATP: 812.Peniston is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Maxted's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Maxted may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Peniston is considered a favorite. The players have not played against each other recently.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;