Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Tokyo 3, hard

Date: 30 June 2026, Tuesday


	Ryuki Matsuda		Yuto Oki

	1	2
	1.72	1.95
	1.74	1.97
	1.86	1.96
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.84	1.94
	1.75	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.91)	1.96 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryuki Matsuda
52.5%

Yuto Oki
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryuki Matsuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Yuto Oki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryuki Matsuda than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ryuki Matsuda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuto Oki than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yuto Oki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ryuki Matsuda - Yuto Oki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Matsuda is ranked ATP: 769. Oki is ranked ATP: 1095.

Matsuda has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Oki is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Matsuda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryuki Matsuda
ITF Tournaments
12.06.26	Roger Pascual Ferra - Ryuki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
10.06.26	Daniil Sarksian - Ryuki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
04.06.26	Ryuki Matsuda - Rodrigo Fernandes	0:2 ✺
03.06.26	Ryuki Matsuda - Amine Jamji	2:0 ✺
29.05.26	Nicolas Tepmahc - Ryuki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL
- Yuto Oki
ITF Tournaments
18.06.26	Tai Sach - Yuto Oki	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Yuto Oki - Shinji Hazawa	2:0 ✺
08.06.26	Kousuke Ogura - Yuto Oki	2:0 ✺
25.05.26	Taisei Ichikawa - Yuto Oki	2:0 ✺
19.05.26	Sanhui Shin - Yuto Oki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLL

Ryuki Matsuda - Yuto Oki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide