Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Colina, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 November 2025, Tuesday


	Sada Nahimana		Diletta Cherubini

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.74	1.98	Watch
	1.75	2.09
	1.75	1.97	Watch
	1.71	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.53)	2.01 ↓ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sada Nahimana
53.6%

Diletta Cherubini
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sada Nahimana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sada Nahimana's form might have worsened.

Diletta Cherubini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Diletta Cherubini's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sada Nahimana than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sada Nahimana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diletta Cherubini than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Diletta Cherubini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sada Nahimana - Diletta Cherubini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nahimana is ranked WTA: 238. Cherubini is ranked WTA: 365.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cherubini may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sada Nahimana
ITF Tournaments
12.11.25	Sada Nahimana - Federica Urgesi	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.10.25	Julia Grabher - Sada Nahimana	2:0 ✺
21.10.25	Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca - Sada Nahimana	0:2 ✺
17.10.25	Sada Nahimana - Ekaterine Gorgodze	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Anastasia Zolotareva - Sada Nahimana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLW
- Diletta Cherubini
ATP Challenger
16.11.25	Diletta Cherubini - Eryn Cayetano	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.11.25	Sophia Biolay - Diletta Cherubini	Cherubini D. retired ✺
31.10.25	Diletta Cherubini - Elizabeth Mandlik	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Ana Sofia Sanchez - Diletta Cherubini	0:2 ✺
29.10.25	Diletta Cherubini - Simone Pratt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 W?LWW

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