Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Bucharest, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 July 2025, Thursday


	Sada Nahimana		Maria Lourdes Carle

	1	2
	4.1	1.18
			Watch
	4.2	1.2
			Watch
	4.33	1.2
	4.09	1.2
	3.4	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↑ (3.47)	1.21 ↓ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sada Nahimana
23.1%

Maria Lourdes Carle
76.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

72.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

74.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sada Nahimana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sada Nahimana than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

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Preview

Nahimana is ranked WTA: 236. Carle is ranked WTA: 123.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Carle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Carle is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nahimana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sada Nahimana
ITF Tournaments
02.07.25	Sada Nahimana - Patricia Maria Tig	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Mathilde Lollia - Sada Nahimana	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.06.25	Sada Nahimana - Alessandra Mazzola	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.05.25	Sada Nahimana - Elizabeth Mandlik	0:2 ✺
27.05.25	Pia Lovric - Sada Nahimana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLW
- Maria Lourdes Carle
ITF Tournaments
02.07.25	Nina Vargova - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
24.06.25	Joanna Garland - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.06.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Louisa Chirico	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Haruka Kaji	2:0 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
27.05.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Ann Li	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
08.07.21	Maria Lourdes Carle - Sada Nahimana	0:2

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