Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Nonthaburi 3, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Nonthaburi 3 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Sakura Hosogi		Fangran Tian

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Sakura Hosogi
31.6%

Fangran Tian
68.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sakura Hosogi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Fangran Tian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakura Hosogi than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fangran Tian than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Hosogi is ranked WTA: 294. Tian is ranked WTA: 332.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Hosogi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tian is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hosogi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sakura Hosogi
ITF Tournaments
08.01.26	Sakura Hosogi - Mananchaya Sawangkaew	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Hiromi Abe - Sakura Hosogi	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Sakura Hosogi - Junhan Zhang	2:0 ✺
25.11.25	Sakura Hosogi - Yexin Ma	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Sakura Hosogi - Kristiana Sidorova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWLL
- Fangran Tian
ITF Tournaments
06.01.26	Fangran Tian - Polona Hercog	1:2 ✺
28.11.25	Fangran Tian - Emerson Jones	0:2 ✺
26.11.25	Storm Hunter - Fangran Tian	0:2 ✺
24.11.25	Fangran Tian - Arina Varaksina	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Fangran Tian - Storm Hunter	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWWL

ITF Tournaments
02.09.25	Fangran Tian - Sakura Hosogi	2:1

Sakura Hosogi - Fangran Tian