Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Taipei 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 June 2025, Thursday


	Sakura Hosogi		Eri Shimizu

	1	2
	2.25	1.55
	2.36	1.56
			Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.2	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.83)	1.59 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sakura Hosogi
41.3%

Eri Shimizu
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sakura Hosogi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sakura Hosogi's form might have worsened.

Eri Shimizu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eri Shimizu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakura Hosogi than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sakura Hosogi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eri Shimizu than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eri Shimizu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Hosogi is ranked WTA: 356. Shimizu is ranked WTA: 397.

Hosogi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Shimizu is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Hosogi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Shimizu could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Shimizu will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hosogi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Eri Shimizu - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sakura Hosogi
ITF Tournaments
25.06.25	Sakura Hosogi - Dabin Kim	2:0 ✺
24.06.25	Sakura Hosogi - Yu-Ning Tsai	2:0 ✺
18.06.25	Misaki Matsuda - Sakura Hosogi	2:0 ✺
07.05.25	Jenna Defalco - Sakura Hosogi	2:0 ✺
07.05.25	Ena Koike - Sakura Hosogi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLW
- Eri Shimizu
ITF Tournaments
25.06.25	Alisa Kummel - Eri Shimizu	0:2 ✺
23.06.25	Eri Shimizu - Dayeon Back	2:0 ✺
19.06.25	Eri Shimizu - Misaki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Eri Shimizu - Chihiro Muramatsu	2:1 ✺
17.06.25	Eri Shimizu - Natsumi Kawaguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
08.06.24	Sakura Hosogi - Eri Shimizu	1:2

Sakura Hosogi - Eri Shimizu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide