Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Nonthaburi, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday


	Fangran Tian		Polona Hercog

	1	2
			Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.31	1.54	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.34	1.53	Watch
	2.3	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.19)	1.54 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fangran Tian
40.1%

Polona Hercog
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fangran Tian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Polona Hercog has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fangran Tian than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polona Hercog than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Fangran Tian - Polona Hercog Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Polona Hercog will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tian is ranked WTA: 334. Hercog is ranked WTA: 333.

Recent performances by Tian have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hercog is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Hercog is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Hercog will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tian won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fangran Tian
ITF Tournaments
28.11.25	Fangran Tian - Emerson Jones	0:2 ✺
26.11.25	Storm Hunter - Fangran Tian	0:2 ✺
24.11.25	Fangran Tian - Arina Varaksina	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Fangran Tian - Storm Hunter	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Sijia Wei - Fangran Tian	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWLW
- Polona Hercog
ATP Challenger
07.12.25	Luisina Giovannini - Polona Hercog	0:2 ✺
06.12.25	Leolia Jeanjean - Polona Hercog	0:2 ✺
05.12.25	Elvina Kalieva - Polona Hercog	0:2 ✺
03.12.25	Polona Hercog - Oleksandra Oliynykova	2:1 ✺
01.12.25	Sara Sorribes Tormo - Polona Hercog	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
18.08.23	Polona Hercog - Fangran Tian	2:0

Fangran Tian - Polona Hercog: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide