Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MILAN (ITALY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 3 July 2023, Monday


	Salvatore Caruso		Michael Vrbensky

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.4
	1.47	2.57
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.47	2.54	Watch
	1.47	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.85)	2.45 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salvatore Caruso
62.2%

Michael Vrbensky
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salvatore Caruso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Salvatore Caruso's performance.

Michael Vrbensky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michael Vrbensky might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salvatore Caruso than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Salvatore Caruso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Vrbensky than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Vrbensky could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Salvatore Caruso - Michael Vrbensky Predictions

Users Predictions: Salvatore Caruso will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Vrbensky could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Caruso will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Caruso won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salvatore Caruso
ATP Challenger
02.07.23	Salvatore Caruso - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:0 ✺
28.06.23	Federico Coria - Salvatore Caruso	2:0 ✺
27.06.23	Julian Ocleppo - Salvatore Caruso	1:2 ✺
21.06.23	Andrea Collarini - Salvatore Caruso	2:0 ✺
20.06.23	Salvatore Caruso - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWLW
- Michael Vrbensky
ATP Challenger
02.07.23	Ilya Snitari - Michael Vrbensky	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.06.23	Michael Vrbensky - Andrew Paulson	0:2 ✺
22.06.23	Michael Vrbensky - Daniel Paty	2:1 ✺
21.06.23	Michael Vrbensky - Michal Novansky	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.06.23	Jerome Kym - Michael Vrbensky	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.09.20	Salvatore Caruso - Michael Vrbensky	2:0

Salvatore Caruso - Michael Vrbensky: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide