Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 13, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 April 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Monastir 13 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Samir Hamza Reguig		Alexandre Reco

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Samir Hamza Reguig
31.9%

Alexandre Reco
68.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.1%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

64.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samir Hamza Reguig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Samir Hamza Reguig's form might have worsened.

Alexandre Reco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexandre Reco's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samir Hamza Reguig than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Reco than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Hamza Reguig is ranked ATP: 694. Reco is ranked ATP: 779.

Hamza Reguig is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Reco is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hamza Reguig could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Reco is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samir Hamza Reguig
ITF Tournaments
02.04.25	Samir Hamza Reguig - Felix Balshaw	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Yousef Khamis - Samir Hamza Reguig	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Samir Hamza Reguig - Amir Omarkhanov	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.02.25	Samir Hamza Reguig - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Samir Hamza Reguig - Lucas Gerch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL
- Alexandre Reco
ITF Tournaments
01.04.25	Muzammil Murtaza - Alexandre Reco	0:2 ✺
27.03.25	Alexandre Reco - Antoine Vincent	0:2 ✺
25.03.25	Oleg Prihodko - Alexandre Reco	1:2 ✺
19.03.25	Alexandre Reco - Evgeny Karlovskiy	0:2 ✺
05.03.25	Adan Freire Da Silva - Alexandre Reco	Freire Da Silva A. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWL?

Samir Hamza Reguig - Alexandre Reco