Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Villavicencio, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 July 2025, Tuesday


	Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios		Mateo Barreiros Reyes

	1	2
	3.3	1.29
	3.47	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.75)	1.3 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios
27.7%

Mateo Barreiros Reyes
72.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios's form might have worsened.

Mateo Barreiros Reyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mateo Barreiros Reyes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mateo Barreiros Reyes than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mateo Barreiros Reyes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Linde Palacios is ranked ATP: 1121. Barreiros Reyes is ranked ATP: 785.

Linde Palacios has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Barreiros Reyes is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Barreiros Reyes is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Linde Palacios won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios
ITF Tournaments
19.06.25	Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios - Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Alberto Lim - Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios	0:2 ✺
12.06.25	Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios - Samuel Heredia	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios - Brandon Perez	2:0 ✺
06.06.25	Niklas Schell - Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWL
- Mateo Barreiros Reyes
ATP Challenger
23.06.25	Miguel Tobon - Mateo Barreiros Reyes	2:1 ✺
22.06.25	Ignacio Carou - Mateo Barreiros Reyes	0:2 ✺
16.06.25	Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez - Mateo Barreiros Reyes	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Juan Sebastian Gomez - Mateo Barreiros Reyes	Gomez J. S. retired ✺
09.06.25	Lucas Gerch - Mateo Barreiros Reyes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWL?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.08.24	Mateo Barreiros Reyes - Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios	2:0

Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios - Mateo Barreiros Reyes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide