Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Barranquilla, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 August 2025, Monday


	Samuel Heredia		Peter Bertran

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	1.95	1.76	Watch
	2.04	1.8
	2.00	1.77	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.25)	1.7 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samuel Heredia
45%

Peter Bertran
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samuel Heredia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Peter Bertran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samuel Heredia than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samuel Heredia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peter Bertran than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peter Bertran could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Samuel Heredia - Peter Bertran Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Heredia is ranked ATP: 858. Bertran is ranked ATP: 546.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Heredia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bertran will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samuel Heredia
ITF Tournaments
29.07.25	Fermin Tenti - Samuel Heredia	0:2 ✺
23.07.25	Nicolas Villalon - Samuel Heredia	2:1 ✺
17.07.25	Samuel Heredia - Johan Alexander Rodriguez	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Samuel Heredia - Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias	2:0 ✺
15.07.25	Samuel Heredia - Tsz Fu Wong	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLWW
- Peter Bertran
ITF Tournaments
11.07.25	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Peter Bertran	2:0 ✺
10.07.25	Miguel Tobon - Peter Bertran	1:2 ✺
09.07.25	Juan Sebastian Gomez - Peter Bertran	1:2 ✺
07.07.25	Enzo Camargo Lima - Peter Bertran	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.06.25	Peter Bertran - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWWL

Samuel Heredia - Peter Bertran: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide