Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OEIRAS (PORTUGAL), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 2 January 2024, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV3


	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri		Joao Sousa

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.4	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.48	Watch
	2.63	1.51
	2.63	1.51
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.59	1.47	Watch
	2.5	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.73)	1.49 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
37%

Joao Sousa
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

67.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Joao Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samuel Vincent Ruggeri than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Sousa than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Joao Sousa Predictions

Users Predictions: Joao Sousa will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vincent Ruggeri is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sousa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vincent Ruggeri could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sousa will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
ATP Challenger
01.01.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Federico Iannaccone	2:1 ✺
31.12.23	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Rodrigo Fernandes	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.12.23	Evgeny Philippov - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	0:2 ✺
16.12.23	Alec Beckley - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	Beckley A. retired ✺
15.12.23	Aristarkh Safonov - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWW?W
- Joao Sousa
ATP Challenger
30.11.23	Joao Sousa - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	0:2 ✺
28.11.23	Joao Sousa - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:1 ✺
17.11.23	Li Tu - Joao Sousa	2:0 ✺
15.11.23	Joao Sousa - Benoit Paire	2:0 ✺
13.11.23	Toby Samuel - Joao Sousa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWW

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Joao Sousa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide