Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: DRUMMONDVILLE (CANADA), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 15 November 2023, Wednesday


	Joao Sousa		Benoit Paire

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.75	2	Watch
	1.79	2.06
	1.79	2.06
	1.73	2
	1.67	2.11	Watch
	1.7	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.83)	2.03 ↑ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Sousa
53.8%

Benoit Paire
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Benoit Paire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Sousa than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benoit Paire than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.7%	0%	4.3%

Joao Sousa - Benoit Paire Predictions

Users Predictions: Joao Sousa will win (22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.31% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sousa won 2.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Paire could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sousa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Sousa
ATP Challenger
13.11.23	Toby Samuel - Joao Sousa	1:2 ✺
09.11.23	Gabriel Diallo - Joao Sousa	2:1 ✺
07.11.23	Patrick Brady - Joao Sousa	1:2 ✺
31.10.23	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Joao Sousa	2:1 ✺
30.10.23	Joao Sousa - Neil Oberleitner	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLW
- Benoit Paire
ATP Challenger
13.11.23	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Benoit Paire	0:2 ✺
07.11.23	Maks Kasnikowski - Benoit Paire	2:1 ✺
03.11.23	Benoit Paire - Ethan Quinn	0:2 ✺
02.11.23	Benoit Paire - Lucas Gerch	Paire B. walkover ✺
01.11.23	Benoit Paire - Darian King	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLL?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
07.10.18	Joao Sousa - Benoit Paire	1:2
ATP Antwerp
17.10.17	Benoit Paire - Joao Sousa	1:2
ATP Shanghai
10.10.16	Joao Sousa - Benoit Paire	1:2
ATP Monte Carlo
13.04.16	Benoit Paire - Joao Sousa	2:0
ATP Valencia
29.10.15	Joao Sousa - Benoit Paire	2:1

Joao Sousa - Benoit Paire: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide