Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tenerife (Spain) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 3 February 2025, Monday


	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri		Lukas Pokorny

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.5
	1.45	2.55
	1.46	2.63
	1.46	2.59	Watch
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.45	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.63)	2.58 ↑ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
64%

Lukas Pokorny
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Samuel Vincent Ruggeri's performance.

Lukas Pokorny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lukas Pokorny might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samuel Vincent Ruggeri than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samuel Vincent Ruggeri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Pokorny than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lukas Pokorny could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Lukas Pokorny Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Vincent Ruggeri will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Pokorny will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vincent Ruggeri: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vincent Ruggeri is ranked ATP: 293. Pokorny is ranked ATP: 462.

Vincent Ruggeri is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Pokorny is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vincent Ruggeri could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Vincent Ruggeri will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
ATP Challenger
27.01.25	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Daniel Masur	0:2 ✺
21.01.25	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	0:2 ✺
20.01.25	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Maxence Beauge	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Ergi Kirkin - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	2:1 ✺
08.01.25	Liam Draxl - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL
- Lukas Pokorny
ATP Challenger
02.02.25	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Lukas Pokorny	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.01.25	Lukas Pokorny - James Story	0:2 ✺
28.01.25	Lukas Pokorny - Harry Wendelken	2:0 ✺
21.01.25	Lukas Pokorny - Robert Strombachs	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.01.25	Lukas Pokorny - Henry Searle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLL

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Lukas Pokorny: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide