Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Maribor, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday


	Samuele Pieri		Sebastian Sorger

	1	2
			Watch
	2.80	1.36
	2.95	1.35
	3.09	1.38
	3.06	1.32	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.86	1.35	Watch
	2.88	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.79)	1.36 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samuele Pieri
32%

Sebastian Sorger
68%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samuele Pieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Sebastian Sorger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samuele Pieri than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Sorger than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Samuele Pieri - Sebastian Sorger Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pieri is ranked ATP: 393. Sorger is ranked ATP: 408.

Pieri is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sorger is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Pieri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sorger is a strong favorite.

We predict that Sorger will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samuele Pieri
ITF Tournaments
28.08.26	Samuele Pieri - Andrea de Marchi	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Samuele Pieri - Nicolo Toffanin	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Samuele Pieri - Theodore Dean	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Jonas Gundacker - Samuele Pieri	Interrupted ✺
19.08.26	Miha Vetrih - Samuele Pieri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWW?W
- Sebastian Sorger
ITF Tournaments
28.08.26	Sebastian Sorger - Giuseppe La Vela	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Sebastian Sorger - Miha Vetrih	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Sebastian Sorger - Jan Kupcic	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Sebastian Sorger - Jonas Gundacker	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Sebastian Dominko - Sebastian Sorger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWW

Samuele Pieri - Sebastian Sorger: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide