Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Gubbio, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 July 2025, Friday


	Samuele Pieri		William Grant

	1	2
	1.44	2.54
	1.51	2.5
	1.49	2.42	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.5	2.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.85)	2.46 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Samuele Pieri
62.2%

William Grant
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samuele Pieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Samuele Pieri's performance.

William Grant has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and William Grant might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samuele Pieri than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samuele Pieri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for William Grant than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that William Grant could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

#ad

Preview

Pieri is ranked ATP: 856. Grant is ranked ATP: 704.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Grant may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pieri is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samuele Pieri
ITF Tournaments
17.07.25	Samuele Pieri - Pierre Antoine Tailleu	2:0 ✺
15.07.25	Samuele Pieri - Jacopo Bilardo	2:1 ✺
10.07.25	Michele Ribecai - Samuele Pieri	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Samuele Pieri	0:2 ✺
02.07.25	Samuele Pieri - Bor Artnak	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWL
- William Grant
ITF Tournaments
17.07.25	Leonardo Malgaroli - William Grant	1:2 ✺
16.07.25	Giannicola Misasi - William Grant	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Ilia Simakin - William Grant	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Jarno Jans - William Grant	2:0 ✺
26.06.25	Dax Donders - William Grant	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLLL

Samuele Pieri - William Grant: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide