Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Lesa, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday


	Samuele Seghetti		Kirill Kivattsev

	1	2
			Watch
	3.4	1.26
			Watch
	3.55	1.26
	7.64	1.05	Watch
	3.5	1.29
			Watch
	3.5	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↑ (3.25)	1.23 ↓ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Samuele Seghetti
22.2%

Kirill Kivattsev
77.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

71%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samuele Seghetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Samuele Seghetti's form might have worsened.

Kirill Kivattsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kirill Kivattsev's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samuele Seghetti than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Samuele Seghetti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kirill Kivattsev than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kirill Kivattsev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

#ad

Preview

Seghetti is ranked ATP: 1250. Kivattsev is ranked ATP: 534.

Seghetti has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kivattsev has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Seghetti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kivattsev is the team to beat.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samuele Seghetti
ITF Tournaments
05.08.25	Luca Preda - Samuele Seghetti	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Samuele Seghetti - Lucas Marionneau	1:2 ✺
23.07.25	Filippo Speziali - Samuele Seghetti	2:0 ✺
17.07.25	Samuele Seghetti - Amit Vales	1:2 ✺
16.07.25	Andrej Radojicic - Samuele Seghetti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW
- Kirill Kivattsev
ATP Challenger
11.08.25	Olle Wallin - Kirill Kivattsev	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Viktor Kirov - Kirill Kivattsev	0:2 ✺
03.08.25	Andrea Guerrieri - Kirill Kivattsev	2:0 ✺
28.07.25	Anton Matusevich - Kirill Kivattsev	2:0 ✺
27.07.25	Stefan Latinovic - Kirill Kivattsev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLW

Samuele Seghetti - Kirill Kivattsev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide