What is the expert prediction for Sander Jong vs Eero Vasa?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Sander Jong vs Eero Vasa. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Sander Jong vs Eero Vasa Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, July 09, 2026)

Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 The Hague, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 July 2026, Thursday


	Sander Jong		Eero Vasa

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.40
	1.50	2.38
	1.56	2.47
	1.47	2.42	Watch
	1.54	2.40
	1.49	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.69)	2.42 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sander Jong
61.6%

Eero Vasa
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sander Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sander Jong's performance.

Eero Vasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eero Vasa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sander Jong than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sander Jong that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eero Vasa than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eero Vasa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jong is ranked ATP: 743. Vasa is ranked ATP: 451.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Vasa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Jong is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

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Last Results with these Odds

Eero Vasa - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.71%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sander Jong
ITF Tournaments
07.07.26	Jeremy Schifris - Sander Jong	0:2 ✺
26.06.26	Jesse De Jager - Sander Jong	2:0 ✺
25.06.26	Manvydas Balciunas - Sander Jong	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Sammy Guinau - Sander Jong	0:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
07.06.26	James McCabe - Sander Jong	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLWWL
- Eero Vasa
ITF Tournaments
07.07.26	Stan Put - Eero Vasa	0:2 ✺
03.07.26	Eero Vasa - Sean Cuenin	0:2 ✺
02.07.26	Eero Vasa - Amine Jamji	2:1 ✺
01.07.26	Eero Vasa - Yassine Smiej	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.06.26	Eero Vasa - Ognjen Milic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLWWL

Sander Jong - Eero Vasa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide