Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Tokyo 3, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday


	Sanhui Shin		Kasidit Samrej

	1	2
	2.05	1.65
	2.12	1.64
	2.12	1.74
	1.7	1.7	Watch
	2.09	1.71
	2.03	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.16)	1.69 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sanhui Shin
45.5%

Kasidit Samrej
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanhui Shin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Kasidit Samrej has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanhui Shin than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sanhui Shin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasidit Samrej than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kasidit Samrej could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sanhui Shin - Kasidit Samrej Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shin is ranked ATP: 449. Samrej is ranked ATP: 388.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shin won 2.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Shin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Samrej will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Shin won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sanhui Shin
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Omar Jasika - Sanhui Shin	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Sora Fukuda - Sanhui Shin	1:2 ✺
29.06.26	Kousuke Ogura - Sanhui Shin	0:2 ✺
29.05.26	Sanhui Shin - Dong Ju Kim	0:2 ✺
28.05.26	Sanhui Shin - Yeonsu Jeong	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLW
- Kasidit Samrej
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Shintaro Imai - Kasidit Samrej	1:2 ✺
01.07.26	Taisei Ichikawa - Kasidit Samrej	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Yu Tanaka - Kasidit Samrej	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Kasidit Samrej - Alberto Lim	Samrej K. Retired ✺
10.06.26	Kasidit Samrej - Pawit Sornlaksup	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
11.07.25	Sanhui Shin - Kasidit Samrej	0:2
04.07.25	Sanhui Shin - Kasidit Samrej	0:2
26.03.24	Kasidit Samrej - Sanhui Shin	0:2
03.09.23	Kasidit Samrej - Sanhui Shin	0:2
12.07.23	Sanhui Shin - Kasidit Samrej	0:2
05.04.23	Sanhui Shin - Kasidit Samrej	2:1

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