Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santa Cruz, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday


	Santiago De La Fuente		Nicolas Villalon

	1	2
			Watch
	1.42	2.65
	1.45	2.92
	1.46	2.52	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.84)	2.7 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santiago De La Fuente
65.4%

Nicolas Villalon
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago De La Fuente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santiago De La Fuente's performance.

Nicolas Villalon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nicolas Villalon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago De La Fuente than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santiago De La Fuente that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Villalon than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicolas Villalon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Santiago De La Fuente - Nicolas Villalon Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. De La Fuente will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

De La Fuente is ranked ATP: 646. Villalon is ranked ATP: 752.

De La Fuente has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Villalon is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

De La Fuente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Santiago De La Fuente - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Nicolas Villalon - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santiago De La Fuente
ATP Challenger
13.04.26	Santiago De La Fuente - Daniel Salazar	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Santiago De La Fuente - Nicolas Ciancaglini	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Santiago De La Fuente	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Santiago De La Fuente - Benjamin Torrealba	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Santiago De La Fuente - Joao Victor Couto Loureiro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWL
- Nicolas Villalon
ATP Challenger
13.04.26	Noah Schachter - Nicolas Villalon	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Matias Rivero - Nicolas Villalon	0:2
06.04.26	Bruno Fernandez - Nicolas Villalon	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Marcco Iannoni - Nicolas Villalon	0:2
27.03.26	Nicolas Villalon - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWLWW

Santiago De La Fuente - Nicolas Villalon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide