Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: AUGSBURG (GERMANY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 21 August 2023, Monday


	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna		Louis Wessels

	1	2
			Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.87	1.9
	1.93	1.91
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.04	1.72	Watch
	2.03	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.42)	1.81 ↓ (2.66)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna
48.2%

Louis Wessels
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna's form might have worsened.

Louis Wessels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Louis Wessels's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louis Wessels than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Louis Wessels, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Louis Wessels Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Rodriguez Taverna will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Wessels will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wessels: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rodriguez Taverna is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Wessels is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rodriguez Taverna could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna
ATP Challenger
14.08.23	Jesper De Jong - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	Rodriguez Taverna S. retired ✺
08.08.23	Sumit Nagal - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:0 ✺
03.08.23	Gauthier Onclin - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:0 ✺
01.08.23	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Georgii Kravchenko	2:0 ✺
25.07.23	Jakub Mensik - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 ?LLWL
- Louis Wessels
ITF Tournaments
16.08.23	Louis Wessels - Jonas Eriksson Ziverts	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
10.08.23	Louis Wessels - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
09.08.23	Miguel Damas - Louis Wessels	0:2 ✺
04.08.23	Louis Wessels - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
03.08.23	Louis Wessels - Marcelo Zormann	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 ?LWLW

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Louis Wessels: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide