Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto Alegre, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Porto Alegre 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna		Valerio Aboian

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
			Watch
	1.53	2.34	Watch
	1.61	2.33
	1.59	2.31	Watch
			Watch
	1.57	2.31	Watch
	1.53	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.35)	2.34 ↓ (3.03)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna
59.9%

Valerio Aboian
40.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna's form might have worsened.

Valerio Aboian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valerio Aboian's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valerio Aboian than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valerio Aboian, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Valerio Aboian Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Rodriguez Taverna will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Aboian will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Valerio Aboian will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rodriguez Taverna is ranked ATP: 261. Aboian is ranked ATP: 454.

Now, both players are in good form.

Rodriguez Taverna could have an advantage in physical - more days for rest in the last days.

In this match, Rodriguez Taverna is a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rodriguez Taverna won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0 (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	Andrea Collarini - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	0:2 ✺
25.04.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Juan Bautista Torres	2:0 ✺
24.04.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Guido Ivan Justo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWWW
- Valerio Aboian
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Valerio Aboian - Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen	Lingua Lavallen A. L. retired ✺
28.04.25	Valerio Aboian - Bruno Kuzuhara	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Valerio Aboian - Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos	2:1 ✺
24.04.25	Valerio Aboian - Juan Bautista Torres	0:2 ✺
22.04.25	Vladyslav Orlov - Valerio Aboian	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 ?WWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.05.23	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Valerio Aboian	2:0
26.04.23	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Valerio Aboian	2:0
ITF Tournaments
07.04.22	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Valerio Aboian	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valerio Aboian
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Valerio Aboian	✺

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Valerio Aboian