Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto Alegre, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Porto Alegre 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Valerio Aboian		Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
			Watch
	1.67	2.08	Watch
	1.57	2.46
	1.63	2.22	Watch
			Watch
	1.64	2.18	Watch
	1.67	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.78)	2.19 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valerio Aboian
57.1%

Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen
42.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.6%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valerio Aboian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valerio Aboian's performance.

Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valerio Aboian than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Valerio Aboian - Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Aboian will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Lingua Lavallen will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Aboian is ranked ATP: 454. Lingua Lavallen is ranked ATP: 417.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Aboian could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valerio Aboian
ATP Challenger
28.04.25	Valerio Aboian - Bruno Kuzuhara	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Valerio Aboian - Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos	2:1 ✺
24.04.25	Valerio Aboian - Juan Bautista Torres	0:2 ✺
22.04.25	Vladyslav Orlov - Valerio Aboian	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.04.25	Juan Manuel La Serna - Valerio Aboian	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWL
- Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen
ATP Challenger
23.04.25	Fermin Tenti - Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.04.25	Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	0:2 ✺
04.04.25	Juan Estevez - Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen	1:2 ✺
03.04.25	Nicolas Bruna - Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen	1:2 ✺
28.03.25	Mariano Kestelboim - Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valerio Aboian
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Valerio Aboian	✺

Valerio Aboian - Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen