Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 24 April 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2


	Sara Bejlek		Anna Blinkova

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.75	2.1	Watch
	1.79	2.12
	1.79	2.12
	1.8	2
	1.75	2.08	Watch
	1.82	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.38)	2.07 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sara Bejlek
53.7%

Anna Blinkova
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sara Bejlek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sara Bejlek's performance.

Anna Blinkova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Anna Blinkova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sara Bejlek than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sara Bejlek that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anna Blinkova than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Anna Blinkova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Sara Bejlek - Anna Blinkova Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Bejlek will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%). Blinkova will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Blinkova: 38.6% – 78%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Blinkova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sara Bejlek
WTA Madrid
23.04.24	Sara Bejlek - Zhuoxuan Bai	2:1 ✺
22.04.24	Yanina Wickmayer - Sara Bejlek	0:2 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
14.04.24	Diana Shnaider - Sara Bejlek	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Raluca Georgiana Serban - Sara Bejlek	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.04.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Sara Bejlek	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLWL
- Anna Blinkova
WTA Rouen
16.04.24	Natalija Stevanovic - Anna Blinkova	2:1 ✺
WTA Miami
19.03.24	Anna Blinkova - Yue Yuan	0:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
11.03.24	Anna Blinkova - Diane Parry	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Jessica Pegula - Anna Blinkova	1:2 ✺
07.03.24	Anna Blinkova - Karolina Pliskova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LLLWW

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