Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Antalya (Turkey), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 March 2025, Tuesday


	Maria Lourdes Carle		Sara Bejlek

	1	2
	2	1.73
	2.1	1.72
	2.09	1.66	Watch
	2.1	1.71	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.11	1.68	Watch
	2.09	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.87)	1.7 ↓ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Lourdes Carle
45.1%

Sara Bejlek
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Lourdes Carle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Sara Bejlek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sara Bejlek than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Maria Lourdes Carle - Sara Bejlek Predictions

Users Predictions: Maria Lourdes Carle will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Carle is ranked WTA: 97. Bejlek is ranked WTA: 144.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Bejlek could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Carle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Lourdes Carle
WTA Indian Wells
05.03.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Katerina Siniakova	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Daria Saville - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
03.03.25	Petra Martic - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
WTA Merida
24.02.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Emiliana Arango	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Emiliana Arango	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLL
- Sara Bejlek
ITF Tournaments
14.03.25	Sinja Kraus - Sara Bejlek	2:1 ✺
13.03.25	Noma Akugue Noha - Sara Bejlek	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	Adrienn Nagy - Sara Bejlek	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.02.25	Sara Bejlek - Rebecca Marino	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.01.25	Camilla Rosatello - Sara Bejlek	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.04.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Sara Bejlek	2:0
ITF Tournaments
16.06.22	Maria Lourdes Carle - Sara Bejlek	0:2

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