Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Madrid 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Sara Saito		Carmen Lopez Martinez

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Sara Saito
82.8%

Carmen Lopez Martinez
17.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

82.9%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sara Saito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Carmen Lopez Martinez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Saito is ranked WTA: 287. Lopez Martinez is ranked WTA: 706.

Saito is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lopez Martinez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Saito is the clear favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sara Saito
WTA Bogota
28.03.26	Elina Avanesyan - Sara Saito	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.03.26	Sara Saito - Hayu Kinoshita	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Sara Saito - Yeon Woo Ku	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Sara Saito - Ena Shibahara	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Miho Kuramochi - Sara Saito	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL
- Carmen Lopez Martinez
ITF Tournaments
04.03.26	Carmen Lopez Martinez - Celia Cervino Ruiz	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Carmen Lopez Martinez - Delia Gaillard	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Adrienn Nagy - Carmen Lopez Martinez	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Carmen Lopez Martinez - Valentina Mediorreal Arias	2:0 ✺
25.11.25	Carmen Lopez Martinez - Carmen Gallardo Guevara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLWL

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sara Saito
ITF Tournaments
28.10.26	Ariana Arseneault - Sara Saito	✺

Sara Saito - Carmen Lopez Martinez