Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Gifu (Japan), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 April 2024, Tuesday


	Sara Saito		Carol Zhao

	1	2
			Watch
	1.33	2.95
	1.33	3
	1.36	2.94
	1.4	2.75
	1.33	3.12	Watch
	1.34	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.5)	2.94 ↑ (2.47)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sara Saito
68.6%

Carol Zhao
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sara Saito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sara Saito's performance.

Carol Zhao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carol Zhao might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sara Saito than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sara Saito that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carol Zhao than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carol Zhao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Saito is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zhao is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Saito could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Saito will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Saito won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sara Saito
ITF Tournaments
24.04.24	Sara Saito - Moyuka Uchijima	1:2 ✺
10.04.24	Ya-Hsuan Lee - Sara Saito	2:1 ✺
08.04.24	Natsumi Kawaguchi - Sara Saito	0:2 ✺
03.04.24	Arianne Hartono - Sara Saito	2:0 ✺
01.04.24	Lea Ma - Sara Saito	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLW
- Carol Zhao
ITF Tournaments
25.04.24	Carol Zhao - Rebecca Marino	0:2 ✺
22.04.24	Ya Yi Yang - Carol Zhao	1:2 ✺
WTA Bogota
30.03.24	Carol Zhao - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.03.24	Carol Zhao - Jessica Hinojosa Gomez	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.03.24	Maria Jose Portillo Ramirez - Carol Zhao	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
20.11.23	Sara Saito - Carol Zhao	Zhao C. retired

Sara Saito - Carol Zhao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide