Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Guiyang, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday


	Sara Saito		Xinxin Yao

	1	2
			Watch
	1.90	1.78
	1.83	1.87	Watch
	2.04	1.79
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	2.01	1.77
	1.88	1.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.59)	1.8 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sara Saito
48.5%

Xinxin Yao
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sara Saito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sara Saito's form might have worsened.

Xinxin Yao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Xinxin Yao's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sara Saito than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sara Saito, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xinxin Yao than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Xinxin Yao, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sara Saito - Xinxin Yao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Saito is ranked WTA: 244. Yao is ranked WTA: 282.

Saito has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Yao is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Yao may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Saito won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Xinxin Yao - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.51%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sara Saito
ITF Tournaments
01.09.26	Viktoria Morvayova - Sara Saito	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	Sara Saito - Kylie Collins	1:2 ✺
30.07.26	Sara Saito - Erika Sema	2:1 ✺
28.07.26	Sara Saito - Luciana Perry	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Sara Saito - Mananchaya Sawangkaew	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWWL
- Xinxin Yao
ITF Tournaments
31.08.26	Anastasia Kulikova - Xinxin Yao	2:1 ✺
12.08.26	Xinxin Yao - Rasheeda Mcadoo	1:2 ✺
05.08.26	Ida Wobker - Xinxin Yao	2:0 ✺
30.07.26	Nastasja Mariana Schunk - Xinxin Yao	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Xinxin Yao - Dayeon Back	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.04.26	Sara Saito - Xinxin Yao	1:2
ITF Tournaments
23.08.23	Xinxin Yao - Sara Saito	0:2
16.06.22	Xinxin Yao - Sara Saito	2:0

Sara Saito - Xinxin Yao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide