Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Nogent-sur-Marne, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 July 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Nogent-sur-Marne 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Sarah Iliev		Marcelina Podlinska

	1	2
	1.65	2.05
	1.68	2.04
	1.6	2.36
	1.6	2.17	Watch
	1.58	2.3
	1.6	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.71)	2.19 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarah Iliev
57.5%

Marcelina Podlinska
42.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarah Iliev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Marcelina Podlinska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarah Iliev than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarah Iliev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelina Podlinska than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marcelina Podlinska could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sarah Iliev - Marcelina Podlinska Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Iliev is ranked WTA: 755. Podlinska is ranked WTA: 648.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarah Iliev
ITF Tournaments
22.07.26	Sarah Iliev - Ylenia Zocco	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Sarah Iliev - Mina Hodzic	0:2 ✺
10.06.26	Emma Lene - Sarah Iliev	2:0 ✺
05.06.26	Sarah Iliev - Elina Nepliy	0:2 ✺
04.06.26	Sarah Iliev - Zineb El Mouttaki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLLLW
- Marcelina Podlinska
ITF Tournaments
22.07.26	Alice Soulie - Marcelina Podlinska	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Marcelina Podlinska - Emilija Tverijonaite	0:2 ✺
24.06.26	Marcelina Podlinska - Anastasiya Soboleva	0:2 ✺
18.06.26	Briana Szabo - Marcelina Podlinska	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Marcelina Podlinska - Daria Gorska	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLW

Sarah Iliev - Marcelina Podlinska

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Sarah Iliev - Marcelina Podlinska Predictions

Preview

Form

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