Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Iasi, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 July 2026, Tuesday


	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg		Alexander Donski

	1	2
	1.36	3.00	Watch
	1.36	2.90	Watch
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.39	3.16
	1.35	2.94	Watch
	1.36	3.05	Watch
	1.35	2.94	Watch
	1.36	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.43)	2.97 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
68.6%

Alexander Donski
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Alexander Donski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Donski than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Donski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Alexander Donski Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Gueymard Wayenburg will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Donski will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gueymard Wayenburg is ranked ATP: 283. Donski is ranked ATP: 528.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Donski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gueymard Wayenburg is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Donski - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.93%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Dino Prizmic	Canceled ✺
03.07.26	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Lautaro Midon - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	1:2 ✺
29.06.26	Max Alcala Gurri - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	1:2 ✺
24.06.26	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 ?LWWL
- Alexander Donski
ATP Challenger
06.07.26	Alexander Donski - Jiri Cizek	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	Alexander Donski - Erik Grevelius	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Alexander Donski - Filip Pieczonka	2:0 ✺
10.06.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Alexander Donski	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	Philip Henning - Alexander Donski	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLL

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Alexander Donski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide