Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday


	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg		Gauthier Onclin

	1	2
			Watch
	1.50	2.40
	1.52	2.45	Watch
	1.52	2.36	Watch
	1.51	2.50
	1.50	2.42	Watch
	1.50	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.73)	2.41 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
61.5%

Gauthier Onclin
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg's performance.

Gauthier Onclin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gauthier Onclin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gauthier Onclin than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gauthier Onclin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Gauthier Onclin Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Gueymard Wayenburg will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Onclin will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gueymard Wayenburg is ranked ATP: 218., and Onclin is ranked ATP: 169..

Gueymard Wayenburg has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Onclin is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Gueymard Wayenburg may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Gueymard Wayenburg is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Gueymard Wayenburg has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:8 (averaging 0.6:1.6 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.2%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
ATP Challenger
28.09.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Harold Mayot - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	Canceled ✺
20.09.26	Harold Mayot - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 W?WWW
- Gauthier Onclin
ATP Challenger
28.09.26	Dan Added - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
19.09.26	Lukas Neumayer - Gauthier Onclin	Canceled ✺
18.09.26	Jurij Rodionov - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Gauthier Onclin - Raphael Perot	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Gauthier Onclin - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 W?LLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.03.26	Gauthier Onclin - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:0
ITF Tournaments
29.03.24	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Gauthier Onclin	1:2
14.10.22	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Gauthier Onclin	0:2
08.10.22	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Gauthier Onclin	0:2

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Gauthier Onclin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide