Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 13 January 2025, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Croatia	Max
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Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max


	Sebastian Baez		Arthur Cazaux

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.85	1.43	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	3.07	1.43	Watch
	3	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.95)	1.41 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
32.2%

Arthur Cazaux
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Arthur Cazaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	0%	76.9%

Sebastian Baez - Arthur Cazaux Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Cazaux will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cazaux: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Baez is ranked ATP: 28. Cazaux is ranked ATP: 80.

Baez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cazaux will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Auckland
07.01.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
21.11.24	Jannik Sinner - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
28.10.24	Sebastian Baez - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Canceled ✺
ATP Basel
23.10.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP Antwerp
17.10.24	Zizou Bergs - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LL?LL
- Arthur Cazaux
ATP Adelaide
07.01.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Arthur Cazaux	2:1 ✺
06.01.25	Arthur Cazaux - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
ATP Brisbane
30.12.24	Arthur Cazaux - Sebastian Korda	Canceled ✺
ATP Metz
05.11.24	Arthur Cazaux - Zizou Bergs	Canceled ✺
03.11.24	Arthur Cazaux - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LW??W

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