Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 5 August 2026, Wednesday


	Zizou Bergs		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	1.62	2.30	Watch
	1.67	2.15
	1.73	2.10	Watch
	1.72	2.30
	1.6	2.34	Watch
	1.69	2.20
	1.63	2.32	Watch
	1.67	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.56)	2.25 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zizou Bergs
57.4%

Sebastian Baez
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zizou Bergs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Zizou Bergs - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: Zizou Bergs will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bergs is ranked ATP: 34. Baez is ranked ATP: 48.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Baez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bergs is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bergs won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Zizou Bergs - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 61.58%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zizou Bergs
ATP Washington
27.07.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.26	Zizou Bergs - Arthur Fery	2:3 ✺
02.07.26	Zizou Bergs - Jaime Faria	3:1 ✺
30.06.26	Ugo Humbert - Zizou Bergs	2:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
28.06.26	Zizou Bergs - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLWWW
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Montreal
04.08.26	Sebastian Baez - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
23.07.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Sebastian Baez - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Sebastian Baez - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Bastad
17.07.26	Andrey Rublev - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Antwerp
17.10.24	Zizou Bergs - Sebastian Baez	2:0

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