Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 SANTA MARGHERITA DI PULA 5 (ITALY), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 4 May 2023, Thursday


	Sebastian Fanselow		Giovanni Oradini

	1	2
	2.05	1.67
	2.02	1.7
	2.11	1.7
	2.1	1.67
	2.13	1.64	Watch
	2.1	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.7)	1.67 ↓ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Fanselow
44.4%

Giovanni Oradini
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Fanselow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Fanselow's form might have worsened.

Giovanni Oradini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Giovanni Oradini's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Fanselow than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Fanselow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Oradini than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Giovanni Oradini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sebastian Fanselow - Giovanni Oradini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Fanselow is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oradini is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Oradini could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Oradini to win the game is with odds 1.76.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Fanselow
ITF Tournaments
03.05.23	Sebastian Fanselow - Piotr Matuszewski	2:1 ✺
01.05.23	Sebastian Fanselow - Kai Wehnelt	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.04.23	Sebastian Fanselow - Denis Istomin	1:2 ✺
16.04.23	Jaime Faria - Sebastian Fanselow	2:0 ✺
23.03.23	Evan Furness - Sebastian Fanselow	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WWLLL
- Giovanni Oradini
ITF Tournaments
03.05.23	Benito Massacri - Giovanni Oradini	0:2 ✺
02.05.23	Leonardo Taddia - Giovanni Oradini	0:2 ✺
29.04.23	Lorenzo Rottoli - Giovanni Oradini	2:0 ✺
28.04.23	Jaime Faria - Giovanni Oradini	0:2 ✺
27.04.23	Giovanni Oradini - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWW

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