Match Info

Date: 20 April 2021, Tuesday


	Sebastian Korda		Aljaz Bedene

	1	2
	1.57	2.37	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.6	2.33	Watch
	1.57	2.31
	1.61	2.45
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.9)	2.38 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Korda
60.1%

Aljaz Bedene
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sebastian Korda's performance.

Aljaz Bedene has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aljaz Bedene might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Korda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aljaz Bedene than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aljaz Bedene could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.6%	0%	26.4%

Sebastian Korda - Aljaz Bedene Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Korda will win (votes: 39 - 73.6%). Bedene will win (votes: 14 - 26.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korda: 61.7% – 85.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Korda is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bedene is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bedene could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Korda will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Korda
ATP Miami
01.04.21	Sebastian Korda - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
30.03.21	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
29.03.21	Aslan Karatsev - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
27.03.21	Sebastian Korda - Fabio Fognini	2:1 ✺
25.03.21	Sebastian Korda - Radu Albot	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LWWWW
- Aljaz Bedene
ATP Cagliari
09.04.21	Aljaz Bedene - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
07.04.21	Egor Gerasimov - Aljaz Bedene	0:2 ✺
05.04.21	Aljaz Bedene - Giulio Zeppieri	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
27.03.21	Kei Nishikori - Aljaz Bedene	2:1 ✺
25.03.21	Aljaz Bedene - Thomas Fabbiano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLW

Sebastian Korda - Aljaz Bedene: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide