Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: DUBAI (UNITED ARAB EMIRATES), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 29 February 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Sebastian Korda		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.8	1.42	Watch
	2.95	1.46
	2.9	1.4
	2.78	1.45	Watch
	2.85	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (3.08)	1.43 ↑ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Korda
33.3%

Andrey Rublev
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

69%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.3%	0%	73.7%

Sebastian Korda - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Korda will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Rublev will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rublev: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Rublev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Rublev will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Korda won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Korda
ATP Dubai
28.02.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
26.02.24	Pavel Kotov - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
13.02.24	Alex De Minaur - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
ATP Marseille
08.02.24	Sebastian Korda - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
06.02.24	Sebastian Korda - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLLW
- Andrey Rublev
ATP Dubai
28.02.24	Arthur Cazaux - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
26.02.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
ATP Doha
22.02.24	Andrey Rublev - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
21.02.24	Andrey Rublev - Richard Gasquet	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
16.02.24	Alex De Minaur - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
19.01.24	Sebastian Korda - Andrey Rublev	0:3
ATP Gijon
16.10.22	Andrey Rublev - Sebastian Korda	2:0
ATP Miami
01.04.21	Sebastian Korda - Andrey Rublev	0:2

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