Match Info

Date: 2 November 2020, Monday


	Sebastian Korda		Tomas Machac

	1	2
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.85	1.9	Watch
	1.78	1.89
	1.87	1.95
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.24)	1.91 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Korda
51.3%

Tomas Machac
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sebastian Korda's performance.

Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tomas Machac might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Korda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tomas Machac could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.2%	0%	23.8%

Sebastian Korda - Tomas Machac Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Korda will win (votes: 32 - 76.2%). Machac will win (votes: 10 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korda: 63.3% – 89.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Korda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Korda
ATP Challenger
23.10.20	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
22.10.20	Julian Lenz - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
21.10.20	Zdenek Kolar - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
04.10.20	Sebastian Korda - Rafael Nadal	0:3 ✺
02.10.20	Pedro Martinez Portero - Sebastian Korda	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWLW
- Tomas Machac
ATP Challenger
16.10.20	Pedro Martinez Portero - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
14.10.20	Tomas Machac - Liam Broady	2:0 ✺
13.10.20	Tomas Machac - Peter Polansky	2:0 ✺
07.10.20	Salvatore Caruso - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
05.10.20	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Tomas Machac	Varillas J. P. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWWL?

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