Match Info

Date: 16 October 2020, Friday


	Pedro Martinez Portero		Tomas Machac

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.41	2.85	Watch
	1.4	2.65
	1.44	2.81
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.49)	2.79 ↑ (2.66)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Martinez Portero
66.5%

Tomas Machac
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Martinez Portero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.2%	0%	6.8%

Pedro Martinez Portero - Tomas Machac Predictions

Users Predictions: Pedro Martinez Portero will win (41 of 44 users predict this - 93.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.73% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Martinez Portero is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Machac is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Machac could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Martinez Portero will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Challenger
14.10.20	Pedro Martinez Portero - Guillermo Garcia-Lopez	2:0 ✺
12.10.20	Pedro Martinez Portero - Marco Trungelliti	Trungelliti M. retired ✺
ATP Roland Garros
02.10.20	Pedro Martinez Portero - Sebastian Korda	0:3 ✺
30.09.20	Mikhail Kukushkin - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:3 ✺
28.09.20	Pedro Martinez Portero - Aleksandar Vukic	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 W?LWW
- Tomas Machac
ATP Challenger
14.10.20	Tomas Machac - Liam Broady	2:0 ✺
13.10.20	Tomas Machac - Peter Polansky	2:0 ✺
07.10.20	Salvatore Caruso - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
05.10.20	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Tomas Machac	Varillas J. P. retired ✺
ATP Roland Garros
27.09.20	Tomas Machac - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WWL?L

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