Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: UMAG (CROATIA), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 26 July 2023, Wednesday


	Sebastian Ofner		Alexei Popyrin

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.65	2.2
	1.62	2.32
	1.65	2.25
	1.72	2.25
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.58	2.38	Watch
	1.61	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.56)	2.3 ↓ (2.44)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Ofner
58.6%

Alexei Popyrin
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Ofner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.8%	0%	19.2%

Sebastian Ofner - Alexei Popyrin Predictions

Users Predictions: Sebastian Ofner will win (21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.62% – 95.92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ofner is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Popyrin is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ofner will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ofner won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Bastad
21.07.23	Casper Ruud - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
20.07.23	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
18.07.23	Sebastian Ofner - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.07.23	Lukas Neumayer - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
15.07.23	Sebastian Ofner - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWWW
- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Umag
24.07.23	Alexei Popyrin - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
05.07.23	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Alexei Popyrin	3:2 ✺
Exhibition Boodles Challenge Men
28.06.23	Alexei Popyrin - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
27.06.23	Borna Coric - Alexei Popyrin	2:1 ✺
ATP London
20.06.23	Jordan Thompson - Alexei Popyrin	2:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.06.22	Sebastian Ofner - Alexei Popyrin	1:2
21.07.18	Sebastian Ofner - Alexei Popyrin	2:0

Sebastian Ofner - Alexei Popyrin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide