Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Sebastian Ofner		Tomas Martin Etcheverry

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.56	Watch
	2.4	1.55
	2.56	1.58
	2.45	1.55	Watch
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.95)	1.56 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Ofner
39%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sebastian Ofner's performance.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tomas Martin Etcheverry might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Ofner that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tomas Martin Etcheverry could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Sebastian Ofner - Tomas Martin Etcheverry Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Ofner will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Etcheverry will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ofner: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Etcheverry (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ofner is ranked ATP: 83. Etcheverry is ranked ATP: 29.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Ofner may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Etcheverry might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ofner won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
14.04.26	Alex De Minaur - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Sebastian Ofner - Patrick Kypson	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Sebastian Ofner - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.04.26	Raul Brancaccio - Sebastian Ofner	Ofner S. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWW?
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Barcelona
15.04.26	Nuno Borges - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jack Draper	Draper J. Retired ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
08.04.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Grigor Dimitrov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 L?LWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Bastad
18.07.23	Sebastian Ofner - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1

Sebastian Ofner - Tomas Martin Etcheverry: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide