Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: HONG KONG (HONG KONG), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday


	Sebastian Ofner		Emil Ruusuvuori

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.65	Watch
	2.3	1.62
	2.36	1.66
	2.36	1.66
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.26	1.65	Watch
	2.31	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.56)	1.64 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Ofner
41.6%

Emil Ruusuvuori
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Emil Ruusuvuori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emil Ruusuvuori than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Sebastian Ofner - Emil Ruusuvuori Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Ofner will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%). Ruusuvuori will win (votes: 10 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ofner: 33.7% – 75.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ofner is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ruusuvuori is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ruusuvuori will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ofner won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Hong Kong
05.01.24	Sebastian Ofner - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
04.01.24	Jan-Lennard Struff - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
02.01.24	Sebastian Ofner - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP Sofia
09.11.23	Sebastian Ofner - Adrian Mannarino	1:2 ✺
08.11.23	Sebastian Ofner - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWLW
- Emil Ruusuvuori
ATP Hong Kong
05.01.24	Pavel Kotov - Emil Ruusuvuori	0:2 ✺
03.01.24	Emil Ruusuvuori - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
01.01.24	Emil Ruusuvuori - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
24.11.23	Emil Ruusuvuori - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.11.23	Sumit Nagal - Emil Ruusuvuori	Nagal S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWL?

Latest Head to Head

Davis Cup Group I
13.09.19	Emil Ruusuvuori - Sebastian Ofner	2:0

Sebastian Ofner - Emil Ruusuvuori: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide