Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: HONG KONG (HONG KONG), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 5 January 2024, Friday


	Pavel Kotov		Emil Ruusuvuori

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.65	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.42	1.63
	2.42	1.64
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.32	1.63	Watch
	2.26	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.1)	1.62 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
41.1%

Emil Ruusuvuori
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Emil Ruusuvuori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emil Ruusuvuori than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Pavel Kotov - Emil Ruusuvuori Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Ruusuvuori will win (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kotov: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kotov is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ruusuvuori is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ruusuvuori will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kotov won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Hong Kong
03.01.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
01.01.24	Pavel Kotov - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
ATP Sofia
10.11.23	Pavel Kotov - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
09.11.23	Marton Fucsovics - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
08.11.23	Pavel Kotov - Sebastian Baez	Baez S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLW?
- Emil Ruusuvuori
ATP Hong Kong
03.01.24	Emil Ruusuvuori - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
01.01.24	Emil Ruusuvuori - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
24.11.23	Emil Ruusuvuori - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.11.23	Sumit Nagal - Emil Ruusuvuori	Nagal S. retired ✺
09.11.23	Alex Molcan - Emil Ruusuvuori	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWL?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.06.19	Emil Ruusuvuori - Pavel Kotov	Kotov P. retired
22.05.19	Emil Ruusuvuori - Pavel Kotov	2:0

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