Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ANTALYA (TURKEY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 7 March 2023, Tuesday


	Sebastian Ofner		Yanki Erel

	1	2
	1.2	4.33	Watch
	1.19	4.2
	1.2	4.35
	1.19	4.82
	1.22	4
	1.19	4.25	Watch
	1.19	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.35)	4.31 ↑ (2.99)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Ofner
78.3%

Yanki Erel
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.9%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sebastian Ofner's performance.

Yanki Erel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yanki Erel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Ofner that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanki Erel than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yanki Erel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Sebastian Ofner - Yanki Erel Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ofner will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Erel will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ofner: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Ofner could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ofner is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Challenger
21.02.23	Sebastian Ofner - Max Purcell	1:2 ✺
13.02.23	Seong Chan Hong - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
26.01.23	Otto Virtanen - Sebastian Ofner	Ofner S. retired ✺
25.01.23	Sebastian Ofner - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
22.01.23	Alexander Shevchenko - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LL?WL
- Yanki Erel
ATP Challenger
14.02.23	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Yanki Erel	2:0 ✺
13.02.23	Kaito Uesugi - Yanki Erel	0:2 ✺
12.02.23	Anthony Popyrin - Yanki Erel	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.01.23	Khumoun Sultanov - Yanki Erel	2:0 ✺
27.01.23	Yanki Erel - Elliot Benchetrit	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWLW

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