Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Skopje, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday


	Sebastian Sorger		Yanaki Milev

	1	2
			Watch
	1.20	3.90
	1.22	3.66
	1.25	4.32
	1.18	4.16	Watch
	1.2	4.7
	1.2	4.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.3)	4.14 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Sorger
77.4%

Yanaki Milev
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.1%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Sorger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sebastian Sorger's performance.

Yanaki Milev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yanaki Milev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Sorger than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Sorger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanaki Milev than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yanaki Milev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sebastian Sorger - Yanaki Milev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sorger is ranked ATP: 450. Milev is ranked ATP: 770.

Sorger is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Milev has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sorger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sorger is the team to beat.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Sorger
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Sebastian Sorger - Aaron Funk	2:0
01.07.26	Sebastian Sorger - Roman Postolka	2:1 ✺
26.06.26	Sebastian Sorger - Khumoun Sultanov	0:2 ✺
25.06.26	Sebastian Sorger - Matic Dimic	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Sebastian Sorger - Vito Tonejc	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWLWW
- Yanaki Milev
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Valentino Conte - Yanaki Milev	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Francisco Tomas Geschwind - Yanaki Milev	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.06.26	Yanaki Milev - Ognjen Milic	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	Yanaki Milev - Miguel Tobon	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.06.26	Matic Dimic - Yanaki Milev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLLW

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