Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ASTANA (KAZAKHSTAN) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 23 July 2023, Sunday


	Seita Watanabe		Egor Agafonov

	1	2
			Watch
	2.35	1.5
	2.37	1.53
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.5	1.48	Watch
	2.41	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.87)	1.49 ↑ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seita Watanabe
37.8%

Egor Agafonov
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

70.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seita Watanabe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Seita Watanabe's performance.

Egor Agafonov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Egor Agafonov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seita Watanabe than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Seita Watanabe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egor Agafonov than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Egor Agafonov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Watanabe has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Agafonov is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Watanabe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Agafonov is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Agafonov to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seita Watanabe
ITF Tournaments
19.07.23	Seita Watanabe - Gilbert Soares Klier Junior	1:2 ✺
12.07.23	Seita Watanabe - Cyril Vandermeersch	0:2 ✺
27.06.23	Bernard Tomic - Seita Watanabe	2:0 ✺
21.06.23	Tauheed Browning - Seita Watanabe	2:1 ✺
30.05.23	Jumpei Yamasaki - Seita Watanabe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Egor Agafonov
ITF Tournaments
21.07.23	Gilbert Soares Klier Junior - Egor Agafonov	2:0 ✺
20.07.23	Gianluca Cadenasso - Egor Agafonov	0:2 ✺
18.07.23	Egor Agafonov - David Poljak	2:0 ✺
13.07.23	Egor Agafonov - Menelaos Efstathiou	Agafonov E. retired ✺
12.07.23	Egor Agafonov - Kalman L. Boyd	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWW?W

Seita Watanabe - Egor Agafonov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide