Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Cancun (Mexico), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday


	Selena Janicijevic		Varvara Lepchenko

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	3.04	1.4
	2.93	1.39	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.94	1.37	Watch
	2.85	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.19)	1.38 ↑ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Selena Janicijevic
32.2%

Varvara Lepchenko
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

71.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Selena Janicijevic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Varvara Lepchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Selena Janicijevic than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Selena Janicijevic - Varvara Lepchenko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone National League (Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lugano won 5.

Lugano is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bern is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lugano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Lugano won 15 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 62:49 (average 3.1:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Lugano won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 33:24 (average 3.3:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Selena Janicijevic
ATP Challenger
09.02.25	Selena Janicijevic - Carson Branstine	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.01.25	Selena Janicijevic - Ariana Arseneault	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
08.01.25	Selena Janicijevic - Leolia Jeanjean	0:2 ✺
07.01.25	Selena Janicijevic - Mariam Bolkvadze	2:0 ✺
06.01.25	Lin Zhu - Selena Janicijevic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LLLWW
- Varvara Lepchenko
ATP Challenger
11.02.25	Maria Mateas - Varvara Lepchenko	1:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
08.01.25	Anca Alexia Todoni - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
07.01.25	Heather Watson - Varvara Lepchenko	1:2 ✺
05.01.25	Hanna Chang - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.12.24	Nuria Parrizas Diaz - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWL

Selena Janicijevic - Varvara Lepchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide