Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday


	Semen Pankin		Olaf Pieczkowski

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.25	1.29	Watch
	3.19	1.3
	3.11	1.32	Watch
	3.25	1.3	Watch
	3.25	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.34)	1.3 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Semen Pankin
28.7%

Olaf Pieczkowski
71.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Semen Pankin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Semen Pankin's form might have worsened.

Olaf Pieczkowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olaf Pieczkowski's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Semen Pankin than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Semen Pankin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olaf Pieczkowski than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olaf Pieczkowski, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Semen Pankin - Olaf Pieczkowski Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Pankin (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5 Games - Pieczkowski (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Olaf Pieczkowski will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Olaf Pieczkowski will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Pankin (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Pieczkowski (votes: 8 - 72.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pankin is ranked ATP: 745. Pieczkowski is ranked ATP: 514.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Pieczkowski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pieczkowski is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Pieczkowski will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Semen Pankin
ATP Challenger
24.11.25	Semen Pankin - Colin Sinclair	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Semen Pankin - Yusuf Qaed	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.11.25	Anton Arzhankin - Semen Pankin	2:1 ✺
06.11.25	Jonas Eriksson Ziverts - Semen Pankin	0:2 ✺
05.11.25	Izan Almazan Valiente - Semen Pankin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWW
- Olaf Pieczkowski
ITF Tournaments
16.11.25	Sergey Fomin - Olaf Pieczkowski	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Olaf Pieczkowski - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	2:0 ✺
14.11.25	Olaf Pieczkowski - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Olaf Pieczkowski - Calvin Mueller	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Olaf Pieczkowski - Zach Stephens	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWW

Semen Pankin - Olaf Pieczkowski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide